Good Judgment Inc. — COVID-19 Forecasting

Organization:
Good Judgment Inc.
Award Date:
03/2020
Amount:
$68,000
Purpose:
To expand efforts to aggregate, publish, and track expert forecasts about the COVID-19 outbreak.

Open Philanthropy recommended a contract of $68,000 with Good Judgment Inc. to expand its efforts to aggregate, publish, and track forecasts about the COVID-19 outbreak with the hope that the forecasts can help improve planning by health security professionals and the broader public, limit the spread of the virus, and save lives. The forecasts are aggregated each day from the most accurate 1-2% of forecasters from a large-scale, government-funded series of forecasting tournaments, plus an annual uptake of a handful of top performers from the nearly 40,000 forecasters on Good Judgement Open.

This is related to Open Philanthropy's broader work on biosecurity and pandemic preparedness. This project was supported through a contractor agreement. While Open Philanthropy typically does not publish pages for contractor agreements, it occasionally opts to do so.

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