Open Philanthropy recommended a contract of $100,000 with Metaculus to support work related to forecasting the future of machine learning.
This falls within Open Philanthropy's focus area of potential risks from advanced artificial intelligence.
This project was supported through a contractor agreement. While Open Philanthropy typically does not publish pages for contractor agreements, it occasionally opts to do so.
This contract was recommended by an external investigator, Carl Shulman. External investigators are not full-time Open Philanthropy staff. Grants and contracts recommended by external investigators go through Open Philanthropy's standard process where reasoning and recommendations are discussed in detail with Open Philanthropy decision-makers. External investigators are prohibited from recommending grants to or contracts with organizations they are affiliated with.