Open Philanthropy recommended a contract of $7,275 to Sage to support the creation of forecasting questions about the rate of AI progress in 2025. Sage has published an initial analysis of respondents’ forecasts on their newsletter, AI Digest.
This falls within Open Philanthropy’s focus area of forecasting.
This project was supported through a contractor agreement. While we typically do not publish pages for contractor agreements, we occasionally opt to do so.